Posted on April 16, 2019
By Jan A. deRoos, PhD and Shaun Bond, PhD
The NAIOP Research Foundation has published a new white paper titled "Creating a Private Equity Fund: A Guide for Real Estate Professionals," by Jan A. deRoos, Ph.D., HVS Professor of Hotel Finance and Real Estate at SC Johnson College of Business, Cornell University; and Shaun Bond, Ph.D., West Shell Jr. Chair in Real Estate at Lindner College of Business, University of Cincinnati.
Key Takeaways:
Posted on March 29, 2019
By Margarita Foster
Property managers are using “dynamic and multidimensional” information for operations but not yet for tenant engagement.
A white paper published by the NAIOP Research Foundation titled “The Office Property and Big Data Puzzle: Putting the Pieces Together”found that office building owners are capturing, storing and analyzing data to operate building systems but not to recruit and retain tenants.
Posted on March 20, 2019
By Dr. Hany Guirguis and Dr. Joshua Harris
The forecast for net industrial space demand will remain steady in 2019. According to Dr. Hany Guirguis of Manhattan College and Dr. Joshua Harris of New York University, demand will remain at approximately 57 million square feet per quarter for 2019. That is unchanged from the average actual 2018 quarterly absorption of 57 million square feet. Industrial absorption in the final half of 2018 came in slightly above expectations due to higher consumer spending and retail sales, which were buoyed by a strong job market.
Industrial demand will be off to a strong start in 2019 with a potential tapering off into 2020 as rising interest rates moderate the economy’s growth rate. At present, the risk of a downturn in the industrial space market appears slim as the nationwide vacancy rate sits at a historically low 7.0 percent. Further, gross and net asking rents are at all-time highs, indicating that the market supply continues to tighten at a steady rate.
Posted on March 4, 2019
The NAIOP Research Foundation has published the NAIOP Industrial Space Demand Forecast for Q1 2019.
Overall, the U.S. industrial real estate markets appear to be healthy and stable. It is the asset class that is potentially in the best position to weather any macroeconomic downturn that may come in the next several years.
Posted on February 20, 2019
The NAIOP Research Foundation has published the Economic Impacts of Commercial Real Estate report.
Combining the economic contributions of new development with the economic contributions from operation of existing buildings, the following economic contributions were made:
Key factors impacting economic growth in 2019 and beyond include the following:
Posted on January 16, 2019
Written by Joan Woodard
Commercial real estate is in the midst of a digital revolution, and some of the biggest upheavals will affect professionals who work closely with property owners and tenants.
Technological innovation is accelerating in the commercial real estate space, and it has the potential to disrupt a large segment of the brokerage business.
Posted on December 19, 2018
As companies collect and analyze more data, supply chains and warehouses operations will most likely be improved, trending towards transparency and efficiency. JLL identified six likely benefits of big data across the supply chain:
Posted on December 14, 2018
GOVERNING reports that Amazon’s decision to locate its second headquarters in already economically strong areas drew the ire of those who had hoped the company would choose a city that needed a boost. However, landing a large corporation isn’t the best way to improve a local economy and spur job growth. The article cites a report by the Urban Institute and the Brookings Institution that advised cities to concentrate on growing existing business and not luring outside companies. “Most job expansion and contractions come from birth and deaths of homegrown businesses or expansion or contractions of existing home-based businesses,” said Megan Randall, a coauthor of the report.
The report also cautioned that tax incentives do not play a significant role in attracting businesses. Although New York City and Virginia offered tax subsidies to Amazon, the company claimed the incentives were not the deciding factor, but rather the highly skilled and educated labor force in each of the locations. Offering generous tax incentives can be especially onerous on localities which do not have the fiscal strength of New York or Washington, D.C., and force difficult trade-offs in levels of public services. Additionally, when a city offers tax giveaways to lure a company, the government goes into the negotiation at a disadvantage because it may not have all the information about the company’s relocation criteria. In some cases, a company may choose a city it would have moved to anyway, pocketing the tax incentives even though they weren't a requirement.
Posted on December 13, 2018
By Dr. Hany Guirguis and Dr. Joshua Harris
The U.S. office market posted solid net absorption levels in the second and third quarters of 2018 of 18.0 million and 11.0 million square feet, respectively. This level of new leasing is likely due to higher-than-expected economic growth and the subsequent demand brought about by jobs created in the office-using sectors.
Due to third quarter 2018 U.S. GDP growth of 3.5 percent and a current unemployment rate of 3.7 percent, 2018 is expected to register nearly 13.0 million square feet of net absorption per quarter, significantly outpacing 2017 and 2016 when the quarterly figures averaged 9.5 million and 10.4 million square feet, respectively. The forecast is strongly dependent on continued annual economic growth near 3.0 percent, which seems plausible for all of 2019 and into 2020 given current data.
Posted on November 21, 2018
The NAIOP Research Foundation has published the NAIOP Office Space Demand Forecast for Q4 2018.
Key Takeaways
Regarding office space demand, the ultimate determinant of long-term growth will be how the business sector reacts to rising wages and interest rates.
Posted on November 2, 2018
The NAIOP CRE Sentiment Index for September 2018 (a composite of nine survey questions), showed positive changes in seven of the nine questions that underpin the Index. This survey's 0.66 Sentiment Index reading is the highest posted since the full survey commenced in March 2016.
Key takeaways:
Posted on October 9, 2018
Recruiting and retaining top talent has become essential in today's highly competitive marketplace.
Is your 2019 salary and bonus package competitive? Find out with the 2018 NAIOP/CEL Commercial Real Estate Compensation and Benefits Reports.
These valuable reports enable commercial real estate businesses to stay current on salaries, bonuses and benefits for CRE professionals from executive to entry level positions. The reports include submissions from 400 companies; salary, bonus, incentives and benefits for 200 positions; and data from 100,000 distinct jobs in the office/industrial, retail and residential property sectors.
Posted on September 4, 2018
Written By: Dr. Hany Guirguis and Dr. Joshua Harris
The forecast for demand for industrial space has risen because of increased expectations of broad macroeconomic growth and job generation for the remainder of 2018 and 2019. According to Dr. Hany Guirguis of Manhattan College and Dr. Joshua Harris of New York University, quarterly net absorption is expected to increase to an average of 60 million square feet for the latter half of 2018 and then moderate to 56 million square feet per quarter in 2019.
Advance indications for gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the rest of 2018 show consensus forecasts approaching annualized growth of 4.0 percent for the second quarter, which could result in sustained growth of 3.0 percent or more for the rest of the year and into 2019. Higher oil prices are a leading cause of increased business investment because as oil prices rise, there is more incentive to increase energy production and commence energy exploration – activities that significantly stimulate the overall economy. Another major force at play is consumer spending, as e-commerce continues to generate demand for industrial space.
Posted on July 16, 2018
The number of available U.S. jobs now exceeds the number of people out of work and seeking employment. At the end of April, job openings stood at 6.7 million while the number of unemployed reached 6.3 million. The June 2018 Marcus and Millichap Research Brief finds that an effect of a competitive labor market is that office-using employment is driving down office vacancy rates, and over the past 12 months, the professional and business sector has been expanding at a faster pace than overall employment, driving up office demand. The professional and business sector added almost 500,000 jobs and grew at 2.5 percent compared to the national rate of 1.6 percent. The increased hiring, according to the report, drove down the national office vacancy to 13.8 percent in the first quarter of 2018.
Posted on July 13, 2018
A recent report by MetLife states that the expansion of ridesharing, autonomous vehicles and electric vehicles will result in “highly accessible, highly efficient and comparatively inexpensive transportation” over the next decade. Researchers believe that alternative transportation, including ridesharing, will partially substitute public transportation in some areas of the U.S. and complement it in other areas, while also bringing transit access to areas not served by public transportation. The report concludes that the greater acceptance of ridesharing will lead to an increase in value for development sites with good access to uncongested roadways but limited access to public transportation.
Posted on June 29, 2018
By Clay Edwards
Though the real estate industry has seen a development rebound over the past decade, rising construction costs are weighing down the buoyant market. The persistent skilled labor shortage makes staffing and maintaining sites expensive. Materials are pricier, and now tariffs on steel, aluminum and lumber imports may only make the problem worse. At the same time, interest rate growth is converging with all these issues, making project financing more difficult to obtain and more costly.
A recent survey of top construction lenders conducted by Construction Lender Risk Management Roundtable found that almost two-thirds said they saw projects running over budget either more often or much more often, and 87 percent said they saw projects running behind schedule, driving up the risk of project defaults and unfinished sites.
Posted on June 21, 2018
Emil Malizia, Ph.D., former NAIOP Distinguished Fellow, was featured in Planning magazine's July 2017 "Research You Can Use" column for his NAIOP-sponsored study, Preferred Office Locations: Comparing Location Preferences and Performance of Office Space in CBDs, Suburban Vibrant Centers and Suburban Areas.
Dustin Read, Ph.D., former NAIOP Distinguished Fellow, received a prize for research based on Case Studies in Innovation District Planning and Development, a NAIOP report he authored in 2016. His paper, entitled "Innovation Districts at the Crossroads of the Entrepreneurial City and the Sustainable City," won best paper in the mixed-use development category at the 2017 American Real Estate Society meeting.
Posted on June 19, 2018
Years ago, the key to attracting and retaining a talented workforce was to relax the rules a bit: Casual Fridays, flexible work hours and teleworking were the employee perks du jour.
Now, the competition for top talent is driven by the demand for amenities of the less tangible type. The highly specialized labor force seeks a “more interactive, collaborative and socially vibrant office environment,” with “amenities that enliven the workplace and create the elusive concept of community,” according to NAIOP Research Foundation report, Activating Office Building Common Spaces for Competitive Advantage.
Posted on June 15, 2018
The U.S. Census’ newest population estimates reveal that eight out of the 15 U.S. cities with the largest population gains are in the south, with three of the top five located in Texas. San Antonio topped the list with an increase of just over 24,000 people between 2016 and 2017. Some of the other cities with the largest population gains were Phoenix, Arizona (24,000); Dallas, Texas (18,900); Fort Worth, Texas (18,700); Los Angeles, California (18,600); Seattle, Washington (17,500); and Charlotte, North Carolina (15,600). Fort Worth, Texas, surpassed Indianapolis, Indiana, to become the fifteenth-largest city in the U.S., with a population of 874,168. The list of the top 14 largest U.S. cities has not changed since 2016.
Posted on June 11, 2018
According to a new Cushman and Wakefield report, Space Matters: Key Office Trends and Metrics, two important trends in office space include technology amenities and parking. Common amenities – such as fitness centers and cost-effective food options – remain very important but there is ample opportunity for growth in how technology-related amenities are leveraged by occupiers and landlords. Despite advances in technology, researchers found many office building owners continue to struggle with some of the most basic offerings such as seamless, high-speed internet and cellular service.
In many urban submarkets, parking supply is a challenge and high prices have been forcing innovative solutions. According to the report, the predominant reason people utilize ride-sharing services such as Uber and Lyft is to avoid parking. In some cases, this has led owners to provide valet or shuttle services to connect offices with off-site parking, including garages in different parts of a city.
